How McCain can win…

Politics is a game of luck. Luck can make or break a politician. Thatcher, despite all of her sheer brilliance, owes her career at least in part to luck. Were it not for the arrogance of General Galtieri and the luck of having the revenue from North Sea oil trickle in in her first years in power she could not have embarked on the remarkable path she trod that resulted in the total transformation of this country. Similarly Gordon Brown could be seen to be incredibly unlucky, perhaps if the economic circumstances were different he could and would be a better PM. On the other side of the Atlantic John McCain is finding that luck is lacking in his campaign. What binds both Thatcher, Brown and McCain, indeed almost all politicians together, is that economics can make or break them.

Up until a week or two ago John McCain had closed the gap on Barack Obama and looked like he was going to give him one hell of a fight in the coming election. All that has changed due to something completely out of his hands: the economy. It is a sad indicator of the world in which we live that as a general rule most voters do not scratch beneath the surface. They take almost everything on face value. If the economy under a Republican government is failing then they instantly turn off to Republican politician. The fact of the matter is John McCain has been a thorn in the side of the Bush administration and any suggestion that the ‘two are one’ is ludacris.

I think it is fair to say that John McCain would be almost last on Bush’s list of possible Republican successors. What I like about John McCain is the fact that he is a gentleman. He holds true to his beliefs and he doesn’t ‘sell his soul’ for a few political points. It would be easy for him to distance himself from Bush, to criticise the last 8 years and to vow to pull the troops out of Iraq but McCain stand for what he believes in and what he knows to be right. He and his running mate, love them or loathe them, have a record (not rhetoric) which shows they can work across the aisle, that they can blow the whistle on their own party members and that they are honourable people who have made change a reality. As far as I can tell Barack Obama, as one British diplomat recently claimed, is ‘aloof’, populist and unprincipled.

The decline in McCain’s fortunes coincided with the meltdown on Wall Street. To the extent people vote based on economic concerns, a majority of them favour Democrats over Republicans whom they hold responsible for the recession that America is seemingly in. McCain needs a month of steady markets, available credit and no more bank failures, perhaps then he can persuade undecided voters that the election really is about trusting experience rather than gambling on change. He also must remind them that he has a proven record of accomplishment in Washington, while his opponent does not. He needs to ram the message home that he, not Obama, fought years ago for greater oversight of mortgage lenders, something which could have avoided the heartache people face today. He predicted this day would come and it has. The Democrats and indeed Obama refused to back him in that quest proving they have no confidence or competence on the economy.

I wholeheartedly believe John McCain is the man to lead America. He needs to come out fighting, release the pit bull in lipstick, ram home his experience and maverick tendencies and expose the downright lies, manipulations and ‘x factor’ nature of Obama’s campaign. If not I feel that America and the world as a whole will be in deep trouble.

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5 thoughts on “How McCain can win…

  1. Totally agree. McCain is a maverick, and as you say, been a thorn in Bush’s side. The American people, if the polls are to be believed, are on the cusp of making a monumental mistake in electing Obama. They, and the rest of us, will rue the day they did. Talks with Iran without preconditions fill me with dread. A plane with Jimmy Carter will take off for Tehran the moment Obama is inaugurated – watch this space.

    That said, the US is a mature democracy, and will take the decision she sees fit.

    The news today that McCain has pulled his campaign machine out of Michigan doesn’t bode well for the remaining weeks of the campaign that are left.

    We can only hope he pulls it round.

  2. Well going in gung ho and invading Iraq and Afganistan has been a hige success hasn’t it? I for one applaud the fact we are willing to actually open talks with these countries. If you’d done your research, you’d have seen what a huge and positive impacts talks have had in North Korea, and we actually look like making good progress there. Compare that to the military approach in Eastern Europe which has caused a huge breakdown in relations with Russia.

    The fact that the majority of Republicans voted AGAINST the recent bill to save the economy over there shows they are not the people to run the country. They are more interested in chasing votes than making the tough decisions the country needs.

    Another reason that McCain is falling behind in the polls is that people are actually beginning to realise that Sarah Palin is the wrong person to be Vice-President. When asked tough questions over the key issues, she is floundering. She has now resorted to making gross and inaccurate accusations towards Obama over the fact he was on a charity board with a former terrorist, despite the fact Obama had nothing to do with that group and has denounced their activites.

    It is the Republicans own ineptitude, and the pathetic choice as Vice-President, that mean they have no hope of winning the election. For America, that can only be a good thing.

  3. Mark for a start Obama IS connected to a terrorist. There is no two ways about that. Almost all credible publications agree that Obama does have some connect to convicted terrorist William Ayers. Ayers was partially involved in Obama’s election as an Illinois state senator in the late 1990s when he was introduced to local activists at a meeting in his house. Obama has also taken camapgin contributions from Ayers during his 2001 election campaign.

    Further to this Obama served with Ayers on the board of the Woods Fund, a philanthropic foundation, for three years and williangly shared a platform with him at two academic conferences. Even if you naievely dispute his connection to Ayers… it is impossible to deny his assosciation to another nut job, one Reverend Wright. When you willingly attend a church for 20 years the preaches what I see as intolerence and downright hostility toward America I find it ludacris that you can hope to lead it. He happily sat back and listened to Wright lambast America and claim acts like 9.11 were justified. Given his links to Ayers and Wright no wonder he wants to talk to terrorists like Iran. (His wife couldnt even be bothered to turn up on the 9.11 ceremonies this year)

    Whilst on the subject of North Korea and Libya… you are wrong to say that the progress there has amoutned from taking to them. It has arisen from setting an example that America and the West wont tolerate them and their dictatorships anymore. Gadaffi feared he could be next after Saddam and was forced to reform his regime much to his displeasure. Likewise North Korea is beginning to reluctantly reform. This has not come out of gentle diplomacy but by making an example of dictators like Saddam Hussein. I believe Iran should be treated with contempt until they dispell all ridiculous and outrageous notions that Israel should be ‘wiped off the map’ We should only talk to those that can be talked to. Iran can’t until it reforms its opressive regime and dispells these ridiculous claims that they seek to ‘wipe Israel off the map’

    Incidently it is ABSURD to suggest that western actions in Eastern Europe has caused a deterioration in Russian relations. I believe it to be the other way round. You are forgetting the sheer arrogance andagression of the Russians under Putin and now Medvediev, whether it be posioning people in foreign cities, ordering political assassinations of journalists who don’t tow the Kremlin line or invading helpless neighbours.

    And finally… in regard to Sarah Palin… to be frank has as much experience as Barack Obama… in fact she has more. So this ‘no experience’ waffle just wont wash. She will gain the experience on the job and i feel she could well be a potential president. I think at this time Obama would be a disaster, many economists believe his plan could pose the threat of not just a recession but a depression. Tax hikes, more spending… all amount to disaster. Weve seen such a scenario before… its called Callaghans Britain. Although at least if he is elected then perhaps Palin can step in in 2012 and be the REAL American Thatcher to follow Obama’s Callaghan

  4. Your last line sums it up for me.

    I haven’t got time to dissect your entire post but the comment about Russia shows a naivety in your beliefs. Yes things between us and Russia haven’t been great for a while, but who started the recent conflict in Georgia? Clue, it wasn’t Russia. That should help.

    I’m yet to read a journalist who thinks that Palin will make a good President. She’s extreme and full of holes in her arguments, as shown when her answers lacked substance and she kept going back to her hockey mom argument.

  5. “What binds both Thatcher, Brown and McCain, indeed almost all politicians together, is that economics can make or break them.”

    Bad luck then, Dan. ; )

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