What if….

With the Conservatives riding so high in the polls for such a prolonged period much of the country, including our Labour counterparts, have come to the conclusion that we are heading for a historic and long over-due win at the next General Election. However as I always say, polls are fickle friends. I believe they assist us in the sense that it gives ‘bandwagon voters’ an indication as to which party is currently the most ‘popular’ which could well swing their decision.

However whilst there is the possibility that some of those polled will not actually vote Conservative when push comes to shove, I do still believe that we are headed for Downing Street and a healthy majority at the next election. To err on the side of caution I would predict a majority similar to that of Mrs Thatcher in 1979, somewhere between 45-60. For the time being however I was tickled by political betting’s seat calculation on the basis of the current polls. We can dream can’t we? although at the minute anything seems possible.


3 thoughts on “What if….

  1. That would be a disaster, and would not be good for the UK. For the party in power to have over 250 seats more than all the other parties combined would lead to a virtual dictatorship, where the party in power could do whatever they wanted as it would take well over 100 MP’s to dissent to overturn any bill.

    Britain needs a strong government, but it also needs an effective opposition. Having a combined opposition with so few seats is not effective. Whether it’s Labour, Tories, Lib Dems or the Monster Raving Looney Party in power, having one party with such a commanding majority cannot be good for the UK. A good government comes when there is an effective opposition as well.

  2. I agree. Im not a big fan of huge majorities because as you say it can lead to dictatoral government and to be honest… it takes the fun out of it! Having said this I am a fan of strong government, however that does not neccessarily mean you have to have an overwhelming commons majority as suggested in the above model. The key to strong government lies in how effectively you present your case to the commons, how well you mobilise your party and how discreetly you deal with dissent.

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