US Update

Its seems that Hillary Clintons crucial win in Pennyslvania is paying off. According to an Associated Press-Ipsos poll released Monday in a hypothetical general election match with McCain, Clinton would lead him 50 percent to 41 percent. Further to this Obama’s once double digit lead over Clinton amongst Democrats has now been reduced to just 3 percentage points with Clinton 43 and Obama 46. To add to his woes Obama remains virtually tied with McCain in the same hypothetical general election, 46 percent to 44 percent.

Clinton also picked up a prized superdelegate endorsement heading into the North Carolina primary. Gov. Mike Easley announced his support for the former first lady on Tuesday morning in Raleigh, the state capital. This endorsement is contrary to the opinion polls in the state which up until now have shown Obama leading by double digits. It will be interesting to see whether this endorsement has any impact on the voters of North Carolina. Either way Obama has nowhere near bagged this nomination yet and Clinton clearly is going nowhere. I would agree with Howard Deans remarks that the superdelegates need to get off the fence within a few days of the last primary but I reject any calls for her to quite when the race is far from conclusive. However unless the candidate is decided by early June then Democrats will be faced with an increasingly uphill battle against the Republicans.

On a personal note I still believe the nominee should be the candidate with a majority of the popular vote, this is currently Clinton. I think she will suffer a set back in the upcoming primaries in states like North Carolina but she should regain her lead with wins in states like Indiana. However should Obama win the popular vote then I would back his case that he should be the Democratic nominee, I would expect Obama supporters to do the same should Clinton win the popular vote.


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