Daily Bite…

I was waiting for this. Polls since the end of 2005 have put the Conservatives ahead of Labour by between zero and five points, with Labour polling in the low to mid thirties and the Tories polling in the mid to high thirties. As the graph below shows, this margin has remained pretty much constant since the end of the 2005/early 2006 when the two parties in effect switched positions. For the Conservatives this has been a mixed success. While they were consistently polling higher than Labour, they were failing to open up a wider gap. Criticism followed that Cameron’s sketchiness, if that, when it come to policy was holding the Tories back, and that while Labour were losing support the Conservatives were failing to pick it up. However, and this is what I was waiting for, recent polls are showing a consistent increase in the Conservative lead. As you can see from the graph , since the beginning of 2007 there has been a widening between the two parties, with the Tories achieving 40 points more frequently including three since the 18^th of February, two of which produced 11 point leads. While individual polls shouldn’t be overplayed, a trend seems to be emerging.